The Dallas Stars are set to host the Winnipeg Jets for Game 6 of their 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinals series on Saturday. Dallas previously held a significant 3-1 lead, but Winnipeg successfully avoided elimination with a 4-0 victory in Game 5 on home ice. The game is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.
According to the latest odds, Dallas is favored on the money line at -155, meaning a $155 wager would win $100. Winnipeg is the underdog at +130, where a $100 bet returns $130. The total goals over/under is set at 5.5, and Dallas also has a puck line of -1.5 at +165. Before placing bets on the Jets vs. Stars game, consider the predictions from SportsLine`s proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. As of the second week of the 2025 NHL playoffs conference semifinals, the model boasts a combined record of 79-55 on top-rated NHL puck line and over/under picks, having yielded over $1,600 in returns for $100 bettors. Followers using sportsbooks and betting apps could have seen strong profits.
Here are some top predictions for the Stars vs. Jets game on Saturday:
Over 5.5 total goals (-105)
While the Under has been the outcome in the last two games of this series, the model does not anticipate that trend continuing in Game 6. Despite a 22-save shutout in Game 5, Connor Hellebuyck has a road playoff record of 0-5 with a goals-against average of 5.84. Conversely, the Stars have scored three or more goals in their last five consecutive home playoff games, including a 5-2 win at the American Airlines Center in Game 3. The SportsLine model predicts the total goals to exceed 5.5 in significantly more than 50% of its simulations.
Kyle Connor 2+ points (+195)
Kyle Connor`s scoring rate slowed briefly after a strong first round, but he has re-established his offensive production with four points in his last three games. This includes a goal in Game 3 in Dallas, where the forward also recorded seven shots on goal. He currently has 16 points (five goals, 11 assists) through 12 playoff games.
Mikko Rantanen over 1.5 points (+165)
Mikko Rantanen did not register any points in Game 5, which likely explains the plus odds for the Over on his points prop. However, the Finnish forward leads all skaters in the playoffs with 19 points (nine goals, 10 assists) across 12 games. He has also surpassed the 1.5 points mark in three of his last four home playoff appearances.
Elton Marrow 
Torin Vale