The Edmonton Oilers, led by Connor McDavid, are preparing to host the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinals on Monday. Edmonton seeks to even the series after the Golden Knights secured a 4-3 victory in Game 3 in Alberta. This followed the Oilers` 5-4 overtime win in Vegas during Game 2. The upcoming game is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
As the series continues, betting odds are a key factor. While the specific lines show Edmonton as a favorite on the money line and the total goals set at 6.5, many are turning to advanced simulations for insights. The SportsLine Projection Model is a proven tool in this regard. It simulates every NHL game 10,000 times and has demonstrated strong performance in the 2025 NHL playoffs. The model boasts a combined record of 79-55 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks, generating over $1,600 in returns for $100 bettors following its advice.
SportsLine Model`s Best Bets for Game 4:
Golden Knights +1.5 (Puck Line): The model predicts another tight contest, similar to the one-goal decisions in Games 2 and 3. A look back at the last four games between these teams, including regular season matchups, shows three were decided by a single goal, often in the third period or later. Based on simulations, the SportsLine model projects that the Golden Knights will cover the +1.5 puck line in over 70% of scenarios.
Under 0.5 Goals in the First 10 Minutes: A notable trend throughout this playoff series has been the slow start to scoring. Neither team has managed to find the back of the net within the initial 10 minutes of any game in this series. The last time these teams scored within the first 10 minutes against each other was during a regular-season game on December 14, 2024.
Evander Kane Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: While recognized for his physical presence in the series, Evander Kane has also been active in generating offense. So far in the playoffs, he has registered 44 shot attempts, resulting in 20 shots on goal. Kane has surpassed the threshold of 2.5 shots on goal in four of his eight playoff appearances this postseason.