The Florida Panthers are looking to bounce back from a two-game deficit as they host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 of their 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinal series. The Maple Leafs took a 2-0 lead in the series by winning both initial matchups in Toronto by a single goal, each time overcoming an earlier deficit. The upcoming game is scheduled to take place at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida.
Prior to the game, the Florida Panthers are positioned as the favorites on the money line, while the Toronto Maple Leafs enter as underdogs.
A proven sports simulation model from SportsLine, which has demonstrated successful outcomes in NHL betting analyses, has conducted 10,000 simulations of this matchup to provide insights and predictions.
Key Betting Insights and Predictions
Maple Leafs +1.5 (Puck Line)
Remarkably, four out of the last five encounters between these two teams, spanning both regular season and playoff games, have been decided by just one goal. Furthermore, five of the eight games Toronto has played during the current playoffs have also been one-goal affairs, with three extending into overtime. The simulation model strongly favors the Maple Leafs to keep Game 3 competitive, predicting they will successfully cover the +1.5 puck line in a significant majority of simulations.
Brad Marchand to Record 1+ Points
Veteran forward Brad Marchand has been a consistent offensive contributor in the playoffs, tallying seven points (one goal, six assists) through seven games. He has registered at least one point in his last four consecutive playoff appearances, including three points against the Maple Leafs in the first two games of this series. This builds on his strong regular-season performance against Toronto, where he recorded six points (two goals, four assists) over six games.
Auston Matthews Over 3.5 Shots on Goal
Auston Matthews is currently a leader among active playoff participants in shots on goal, tied with 29 shots through eight games. He has shown consistency in his shooting volume, recording three or more shots in seven out of those eight playoff contests.
Elton Marrow