While no NHL team has been officially eliminated from the Stanley Cup Playoffs yet, two teams face potential elimination on Tuesday night. The Ottawa Senators and New Jersey Devils are both trailing their series 3-1 against the Toronto Maple Leafs and Carolina Hurricanes, respectively.
The series between the Hurricanes and Devils has been particularly one-sided, with Carolina securing multi-goal victories in all three of their wins. The betting odds reflect this disparity: Carolina is a massive favorite (-4500) to advance, while New Jersey is a significant longshot (+1600), considered the biggest underdog among teams down 3-1.
Looking ahead to Game 5, Carolina is listed as a -275 favorite on the money line (risk $275 to win $100), while New Jersey is a +222 underdog (risk $100 to win $222), according to the latest odds. The total goals line is set at 5.5, with the Over at +100 and the Under at -120. Projection models often provide insights and expert picks for such matchups.
A projection model that simulates each NHL game thousands of times can identify top-rated prop picks, often assigning star ratings based on value. These highly-rated player prop picks are valuable for constructing winning parlays, including same-game parlays (SGPs), available on various betting platforms.
Devils-Hurricanes Same-Game Parlay (+518 Odds)
- Brent Burns Over 1.5 shots on goal (-122): 5 stars
- Logan Stankoven Over 1.5 shots on goal (-170): 5 stars
- Sebastian Aho Over 2.5 shots on goal (+114): 4.5 stars
This SGP focuses on three “Over” picks for player shots on goal. The two 5-star rated picks project Brent Burns and Logan Stankoven to exceed 1.5 shots on goal, with estimates around 2.6 shots each. Stankoven, in particular, has consistently surpassed this line recently against top defensive teams, averaging 2.4 shots in his last five such games. The final component adds Sebastian Aho to go Over 2.5 shots on goal at plus-money odds (+114). While not as strong a rating as the other two, his projection is still calculated at 3.0 shots, making it a viable leg for the parlay.
Elton Marrow