The Montreal Canadiens are set to host the Washington Capitals in Game 4 on Sunday, seeking to even the series. The home team has claimed victory in each of the first three contests; Washington secured wins in Games 1 and 2, while Montreal bounced back with a 6-3 victory in Game 3 on home ice. The Capitals concluded the regular season with the Eastern Conference`s top record, whereas the Canadiens were the final team from either conference to clinch a playoff berth.
According to consensus odds, the Capitals are listed as -128 favorites on the moneyline, with the Canadiens at +108 as underdogs. The total goals line is set at 6.
A specific Same-Game Parlay (SGP) for the Capitals-Canadiens Game 4 matchup has been developed with insights from the SportsLine Projection Model. Alex Ovechkin, who has already scored three goals in the series, including two in the Capitals` Game 1 win, is a central figure in this recommended parlay.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times and provides highly-rated player prop picks. These top selections serve as the foundation for building winning parlays and SGPs on various betting platforms.
Based on the model`s analysis, here are the three top-rated player prop picks for Sunday`s game, combined into a potential Same-Game Parlay with a payout of +538:
- Nick Suzuki Under 1.5 total points (-245): 5 stars
- Lane Hutson Under 0.5 total points (+128): 4.5 stars
- Alex Ovechkin Under 3.5 total shots on goal (-104): 4 stars
Here`s the rationale behind these picks: Despite scoring two goals in the series, including one in Game 3, Nick Suzuki has not surpassed 1.5 points in any game so far. The model projects him to finish Game 4 with 0.3 points, staying below this threshold. Rookie defenseman Lane Hutson has contributed assists in the series, but the model anticipates him recording no points against the Capitals in Game 4. As for Alex Ovechkin, despite his legendary status as a scorer and typically high volume of shots, the model projects him slightly under his 3.5 shots on goal line for this game at 3.1. This aligns with his recent trend of going under this total in four of his last six road games where the Capitals were favored, averaging 3.2 shots per contest in those instances.
Elton Marrow