The Edmonton Oilers are scheduled to host the Florida Panthers in Game 5 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final on Saturday. Connor McDavid and his teammates achieved a significant comeback in Game 4, overcoming an early 3-0 deficit to win 5-4 in overtime, thereby tying the series at two games apiece. The puck drop for the fifth game is set for 8 p.m. ET at Rogers Place in Edmonton.
Examining the latest betting odds, Edmonton is listed as a slight favorite on the money line at -111 (requiring a $111 risk to win $100), while Florida is the underdog at -109 (risking $109 to win $100). The line for the total number of goals scored in the game is set at 6.5. On the puck line, the Oilers are -1.5 with odds of +204. It`s advisable to analyze these betting markets before placing any wagers.
Statistical models have conducted extensive simulations for this NHL game. One model, specifically, has demonstrated a solid performance track record heading into the second week of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final, with an 80-56 record on top-rated puck-line and over/under picks, indicating potential profitability for bettors who followed its recommendations.
Game 5 Predictions & Analysis
Here are some key predictions based on statistical analysis and recent trends:
- Panthers +1.5 on the puck line (-253)
- Over 6.5 total goals (-115)
Looking at the puck line, Game 4 was the sixth time out of the last seven contests between these two teams that the outcome was decided by a single goal. Games 1, 2, and 4 all required overtime, with the Panthers successfully covering the puck line in Game 2 despite the road loss in OT. Projections suggest a high probability (over 70%) of Florida covering the puck line again in Game 5 based on simulations.
Regarding the total goals, the Over bet has been successful in all four preceding games in the series. Games 1 and 3 saw a total of seven goals each, while Games 2 and 4 were higher-scoring affairs with nine goals apiece. Florida`s goaltender, Sergei Bobrovsky, has consistently faced a heavy workload, making over 30 saves in every game against the Oilers. This pattern is likely to continue as Edmonton looks to leverage home ice advantage. The expectation is for Game 5 to also exceed the 6.5 goal threshold, aligning with the series` scoring trend.
Elton Marrow 
Torin Vale