Cartels. Capitalism's clubby side, from Adam Smith to Libor
Cartels sound unsavory, suggesting drug kingpins or despotic rulers of oil kingdoms. They are, in fact, illegal within the U.S. and most developed economies. But agreements among members of a given industry to shape markets to their mutual advantage are as natural a feature of capitalism as competition. Cartels exist openly in many places and covertly almost everywhere. The line between a cartel and a more legitimate joint trading or marketing venture can be a fine one, and cartels take many forms: production quotas, price fixing, import/export quotas. Even mechanisms as benign-sounding asproduct standards or“best price” agreements can be used to keep out new rivals. Some cartels operate inside a single nation; others span international markets. DeBeers controlled the diamond market for decades, and saw its hold loosened only by outside forces, includingnew competitorsand determined prosecutors. More recently, charges or disputes about cartels have involved everything frompotash minesin Belarus to currency traders’ chatrooms in cyberspace, minor league baseball contracts and foreign car dealerships in China. And then there’s OPEC, the 800-pound gorilla of the cartel world.
In July, the European Union announced record fines of 2.93 billion euros($3.23 billion) against Daimler, DAF and other truckmakers for fixing prices of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles over 14 years. In 2015, five banks paid about $9 billion in fines to U.S. and European regulators after revelations that traders manipulated prices in the $5.3-trillion-a-day foreign-exchange market using instant message groups whose names included “The Cartel.” Six banks had already been fined 1.7 billion euros ($2.3 billion) by the European Union over collusion over the Libor benchmarks used to set interest rates. Since 2014, Saudi Arabia and other key members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting States have showed three things: how far a determined cartel can swing a market, that cartels sometimes want to drive prices down as well as up and that even within cartels there are losers as well as winners. Determined to recapture market share being lost to new sources, including oil from shale, Saudi Arabia and other Arab producers opened the taps, sending oil prices down 46 percent by the end of the year. Among those hurt were OPEC members Iran and Venezuela — and Saudi Arabia, which in September 2016 agreed to a deal to limit output after its budget deficits soared.
The idea is age-old, but formal cartels first emerged in Germany in the 1870s, then spread to other European nations and Japan. The historian Jeffrey Fear has noted that domestic cartels typically emerged in industries with high fixed costs and a record of ruinous competition: steel, coal, salt, paper, fertilizer, aluminum and potash. In the U.S., the years after the Civil War saw a flowering of pools, trusts and other forms of cartels before antitrust laws reined them in. Elsewhere, they were backed by governments as a bulwark against business failures and suffocating monopolies. The predictability of cartel arrangements was also thought to encourage more consistent investments in research and development. International cartels prospered in the 1920s and 1930s in industries ranging from copper to petroleum to rubber. On the eve of World War II, cartels controlled 40 percent of global trade. That conflict destroyed many of the arrangements, as did liberalizing reforms afterward. Cartels continued to flourish in a handful of places, especially Japan, but otherwise began a slow decline. Commodity cartels in emerging economies enjoyed a renaissance in the 1970s. As a consortium of sovereign nations, OPEC stood outside antitrust laws, but its aggressive campaign to control oil prices destroyed the good reputation these cooperative arrangements once had. Recent prosecutions over price-fixing, ranging from cathode-ray tubes ($1.9 billion in fines levied in 2012) and in the international auto parts trade (over $1.6 billion in fines), show the continued lure of collaboration.
ЭPeople of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise prices". - Adam Smith
The idea that cartels operate to the detriment of consumers dates back to Adam Smith, who described them as conspiratorial combines that have “an interest to deceive and even to oppress the public.” And even defenders of cartels have little good to say about the kind of geopolitical jousting that landed one Russian potash CEO in jail in Belarus. But for much of the modern history of business, this has been a minority point of view. While cartels face more legal hurdles today, their ubiquity throughout the history of capitalism suggests that attempts to eradicate them entirely will fail. Still, there’s a threat to them that will never go away — cheating on the cartel’s rules by members who can’t entirely suppress their competitive side, like maple-syrup farmersin Quebec who turned to the black market rather than abide by quotas. EU officials have found that every-man-for-himself spirit useful: UBS and Barclay’s avoided $4.3 billion in fines by being the first to come clean about interest-rate manipulation.