The Ottawa Senators look to bounce back from a two-game deficit as they host the Toronto Maple Leafs for Game 3 of the 2025 NHL playoffs on Thursday.
Ottawa dropped Game 1 by a score of 6-2, then pushed Game 2 to overtime at Scotiabank Arena. Despite the effort, Toronto secured the win in the extra frame with a wrist shot goal from Max Domi, clinching a 3-2 victory and a 2-0 series lead.
Game 3 is scheduled for a 7 p.m. ET puck drop at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. According to the latest Senators vs. Maple Leafs odds, Ottawa is favored on the money line at -126, while Toronto is the underdog at +105. The over/under for total goals is set at 5.5. The puck line odds show Ottawa at -1.5 (+198).
Predictions based on a proven model suggest the following bets:
Maple Leafs +1.5 on the puck line (-240)
Toronto brings a seven-game winning streak into this matchup, dating back to April 9. They have also covered the puck line in each of those games. While the last two meetings in Ottawa were decided by a single goal, a projection model predicts the Leafs will continue this trend, covering the +1.5 spread in over 70% of simulations.
Auston Matthews anytime goal-scorer (+125)
Auston Matthews, a three-time Rocket Richard Trophy winner, is still seeking his first goal this postseason but has been close. He finished the regular season on a three-game scoring streak and boasts a strong history against Ottawa, with 25 goals in 35 career games. The odds for him to score anytime in Game 3 are +125.
Torin Vale 
Elton Marrow