The Dallas Stars aim to extend their lead in the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs conference semifinals as they host the Winnipeg Jets for Game 4 on Tuesday. Dallas secured a 2-1 series advantage with a 5-2 win on Sunday, a game where Mikko Rantanen contributed offensively. The fourth game is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.
According to the latest odds, Dallas enters Game 4 as the favorite with a -150 money line, while Winnipeg is the underdog at +125. The total goals line is set at 5.5, and the Stars have a -1.5 puck line at +173. Betting analysis often references prediction models for informed picks.
A prominent sports projection model, simulating each game extensively, has shown a strong record in the 2025 NHL playoffs, particularly on puck-line and over/under bets. This model has provided significant returns for those who followed its recommendations.
Betting Picks for Stars vs. Jets Game 4
This aligns with trends observed in the playoffs, where the Over has frequently occurred in Stars home games and Jets road games. The Jets` goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, has faced challenges on the road, conceding five or more goals in multiple away playoff appearances. The projection model also strongly supports this outcome.
The Finnish forward has been highly productive in the playoffs, accumulating 18 points, including nine goals, and recently recorded consecutive hat tricks. He has consistently found the back of the net in recent home playoff games, including a goal in Game 3.
Both Game 2 and Game 3 saw goals scored early. This pick is supported by the model`s expectation of a high-scoring match, the tendency for early goals in the Stars` home playoff games, and Hellebuyck`s record of allowing a goal within the first 10 minutes in several playoff starts.
Torin Vale 
Elton Marrow