The Dallas Stars are facing elimination as they host the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs Western Conference Final on Thursday. After starting the series with a dominant 6-3 victory, the Stars have lost three consecutive games and now find themselves on the brink. The puck drop for this crucial Game 5 is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas.
For Game 5, Dallas is listed as a -129 favorite on the money line, meaning a $129 wager is needed to win $100. The Edmonton Oilers are the underdog at +109, where a $100 bet could yield a $109 profit. The projected total goals scored is set at 6, with the Stars having a puck line of -1.5 at +191 odds. Insights for this matchup are available from a proven prediction model.
Model`s Predictions for Game 5
- Dallas Stars to win outright
- Total goals scored to be Under 6
Prediction Details: Stars Money Line
Despite the Oilers` strong performance in the recent three games, the prediction model favors the Stars to secure a win on their home ice and extend the series. Dallas had won seven straight games at American Airlines Center before being defeated 3-0 by Edmonton in Game 2. According to the model, the Stars are projected to win outright in nearly 60% of simulated scenarios, suggesting they can handle the pressure and keep their season alive at home.
Prediction Details: Under 6 Goals
The `Under` for total goals has occurred in two of the initial four games in this series. This trend aligns with the season-long performance of both teams, where the Under hit in 55% of their games. Oilers goaltender Stuart Skinner has been particularly effective, allowing only two goals combined over the last three contests and achieving a shutout in Dallas during Game 2 with 25 saves. Betting markets list Under 6 total goals scored with odds around -115.
Torin Vale 
Elton Marrow